Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	08:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	19:00	ESPN
Croatia	00:00	Arena Sport
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV
Serbia	00:00	Arena Sport


	Botafogo RJ		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.52	4.15	5.95	Watch
	1.53	4.13	6.84
	1.53	4.11	6.77
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.54	4.01	6.21	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	4.11 ↓ (4.48)	6.24 ↓ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
62.1%

Draw
22.8%

Universitario de Deportes
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.9%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

19.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Botafogo RJ aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Botafogo RJ - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. John Victor (G) 22. Suarez D. 3. Lucas Halter 15. Bastos 16. Hugo 11. Junior Santos 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 26. Gregore 7. Luiz Henrique 10. Savarino J. 9. Tiquinho Soares	1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 2. Saravia M. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez M. 18. Urena R. 23. Murrugarra J. 34. Portocarrero S. 19. Flores E. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
67. Augusto Y. F. 20. Barboza A. 33. Carlos Eduardo 5. Danilo Barbosa 77. Diego Hernandez 1. Fernandez R. (G) 32. Jacob Montes 8. Patrick de Paula 4. Ponte M. 97. Raul (G) 70. Romero O. 6. Tche Tche	26. Ancajima H. 14. Bolivar J. 27. Cabanillas N. 12. Calderon J. (G) 7. Celi Y. 17. Concha J. 35. Dorregaray D. 32. Flores A. 30. Guzman P. 33. Olivares C. 31. Rojas A. 21. Romero D. (G)
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Bustos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
16', Saravia M. 🟨,
45', Valera A. 🟨,
45+3', Perez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Bastos ↓, Barboza A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
57', 2 - 0, Luiz Henrique ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
59', John Victor 🟨,
67', Valera A. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
67', Murrugarra J. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
69', Luiz Henrique ↓, Romero O. ↑,
69', Marlon Freitas ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
73', Flores E. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
74', Perez M. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
75', Celi Y. 🟨,
79', Hugo 🟨,
80', Suarez D. ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
88', Polo A. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Ponte M. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽, Concha J. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Botafogo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario de Deportes is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
21.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	5:1 ✺
18.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Junior Barranquilla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWW

Upcoming Matches