Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Botafogo RJ		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.1	7
	1.47	4.35	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.27	7.23
	1.49	4.28	7.23
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.48	4.3	7	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)	4.23 ↑ (4.11)	6.97 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
64.2%

Draw
22.2%

Junior Barranquilla
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Botafogo RJ - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez R. (C) 4. Ponte M. 3. Lucas Halter 20. Barboza A. 16. Hugo 17. Marlon Freitas 26. Gregore 33. Carlos Eduardo 10. Savarino J. 11. Junior Santos 9. Tiquinho Soares	77. Mele S. (G) 12. Fuentes G. 28. Pena J. 25. Ceballos B. 21. Pacheco W. 24. Cantillo V. 6. Moreno D. 20. Caicedo D. 8. Chara Y. 99. Enamorado J. 70. Bacca C. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bastos 5. Danilo Barbosa 39. Janderson 47. Jeffinho 12. John Victor (G) 25. Kaue 7. Luiz Henrique 2. Rafael 75. Rai 6. Tche Tche	31. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 29. Albornoz O. 7. Berrio L. 88. Castrillon B. 16. Hernandez V. 3. Herrera E. 80. Hinojosa R. 27. Johan Bocanegra 30. Martinez J. (G) 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 17. Perez M.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Bacca C. (Pen),
28', 0 - 2, Fuentes G. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
41', 0 - 3, Bacca C. ⚽, Fuentes G. (A),
43', 1 - 3, Hugo ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
45+1', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
45+1', Pacheco W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gregore ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
46', Savarino J. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
66', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
71', Enamorado J. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
72', Bacca C. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
75', Ceballos B. 🟨,
79', Ponte M. ↓, Rafael ↑,
81', Chara Y. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
81', Cantillo V. ↓, Johan Bocanegra ↑,
82', Albornoz O. 🟨,
85', Marlon Freitas ↓, Romero O. ↑,
88', Caicedo D. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
90+1', Junior Santos 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Junior is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Junior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
31.03.24	Botafogo RJ - Boavista	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	0:4 ✺
17.03.24	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
29.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
08.03.24	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

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