Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 3

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Botafogo SP		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.08	2.98	3.8
	2.14	3.01	4.37
	2	3.19	3.99	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.06	2.9	4.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.38)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	3.98 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
45.4%

Draw
31.1%

São Bernardo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bernardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Botafogo SP - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jonathan 4. Vilar 14. Carlao 6. Patrick Brey (C) 5. Leandro Maciel 10. Rafael Gava 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor	1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 5. Matheus Salustiano 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho (C) 17. Romisson 10. Fabricio Daniel 22. Pablo Dyego 29. Pedrinho
Substitutes
27. Darlan 26. Felipe Vieira 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 21. Luizao 19. Marcio Maranhao 28. Marco Antonio 20. Marquinho 16. Matheus Sales 22. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley Santos	89. Daniel Amorim 27. Echapora 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 35. Jemerson 30. Junior Urso 31. Lucas Fernandes 7. Lucas Rian 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 11. Pedro Vitor
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hygor ⚽,
18', Jonathan ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
33', Leandro Maciel 🟨,
41', Para 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pablo Dyego ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
46', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
46', Pedrinho ↓, Echapora ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Ferreira ⚽, Pedro Vitor (A),
55', Kelvin 🟨,
65', Dudu Miraima ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
72', Kelvin ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
73', Rafael Gava ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
77', Foguinho ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
80', Ze Hugo ↓, Luizao ↑,
80', Leandro Maciel ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
81', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Daniel Amorim ⚽, Echapora (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.

São Bernardo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Botafogo SP might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Knee Injury) Guilherme Mariano (Inactive) Guilherme Queiroz (Inactive)

There will not play in São Bernardo: Felipe Garcia (Inactive) Mario Sergio (Inactive) Pablo (Inactive) Rodrigo Andrade (Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Thalles (Inactive) Wallace (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

São Bernardo - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Botafogo SP - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 WWLWW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.04.26	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Chapecoense - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1
19.02.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	2:1
27.02.22	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.11.21	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	2:0
07.11.21	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.16	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:1
28.03.15	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	1:0

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