Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bournemouth		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.67
	3.9	4.1	1.78
	4.55	4.35	1.7
	4.58	4.5	1.71
	4.49	4.34	1.73	Watch
	4.2	4	1.7
	4.63	4.4	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.26)	4.29 ↓ (4.44)	1.72 (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
21.9%

Draw
22.4%

Manchester City
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

20.4%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Manchester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	11.8%	80%

Bournemouth - Manchester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Bournemouth (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (64 of 80 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.23% – 88.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Man City (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 37. Rayan 22. Kroupi E. J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson	25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 45. Khusanov A. 15. Guehi M. 33. O'Reilly N. 16. Rodri 42. Semenyo A. 20. Silva B. (C) 8. Kovacic M. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 11. Gannon-Doak B. 19. Kluivert J. 29. Mandas C. (G) 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.	10. Cherki R. 3. Dias R. 47. Foden P. 24. Gvardiol J. 7. Marmoush O. 4. Reijnders T. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)
Coaches
Iraola A.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Adams T. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Silva B. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
56', Kovacic M. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
56', Semenyo A. ↓, Savinho ↑,
59', Hill J. 🟨,
76', Doku J. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
76', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
84', Rayan ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
89', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
90', Smith A. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
90+3', Kluivert J. 🟨,
90+3', Rodri 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,
90+6', Truffert A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Man City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Red Card) Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 13:56. (average 0.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:20. (average 0.7:2.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 17.65% Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13:5	8	15
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.83%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
09.05.26	Fulham - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWTWW
- Manchester City
English FA Cup
16.05.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.05.26	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Manchester City - Brentford	3:0 ✺
04.05.26	Everton - Manchester City	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
25.04.26	Manchester City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.11.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1
20.05.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1
English FA Cup
30.03.25	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:2
English Premier League
02.11.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	2:1
24.02.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	0:1
04.11.23	Manchester City - Bournemouth	6:1
25.02.23	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:4

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