Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Poland
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fubo Sports Network, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.7
	2.02	3.8	3.55
	2.04	3.82	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.3
	1.94	3.82	3.97	Watch
	2	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	3.82 ↓ (4.01)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
48.3%

Draw
25.1%

Bournemouth
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

23.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	25%	13.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 51 - 63%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 52.5% – 73.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bournemouth (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Bournemouth (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 18 - 72%). Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 12%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 13. Hinshelwood J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 8. Gruda B. 22. Mitoma K. 18. Welbeck D.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 4. Cook L. (C) 8. Scott A. 16. Tavernier M. 22. Kroupi E. J. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
26. Ayari Y. 17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G)	10. Christie R. 51. Dacosta M. 18. Diakite B. 17. Forster F. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 50. Rees-Dottin R. 49. Sadi D. 15. Smith A. 53. Stevens C.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tavernier M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Welbeck D. 🟨,
60', Senesi M. 🟨,
66', Gruda B. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
66', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
71', Tavernier M. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
71', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
77', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
77', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
79', Adli A. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
83', Smith A. 🟨,
85', Petrovic D. 🟨,
89', Kadioglu F. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Kostoulas C. ⚽, van Hecke J. P. (A),
90+9', Jimenez A. ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.

Brighton & Hove has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bournemouth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Brighton & Hove has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Dennis W. (Ankle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Unal E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	13	13
17	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWTL
- AFC Bournemouth
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
25.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	2:1
23.11.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
28.04.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
24.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	3:1
04.04.23	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
04.02.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:0

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