Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Poland
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Fox Sports 1, Fubo Sports Network, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	FPT Play
International	20:00	Sport 24 At Sea


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.7
	2.02	3.8	3.55
	2.04	3.82	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.3
	1.94	3.82	3.97	Watch
	2	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	3.82 ↓ (4.01)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
48.3%

Draw
25.1%

Bournemouth
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

23.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	25%	13.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 51 - 63%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 52.5% – 73.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bournemouth (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Bournemouth (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 18 - 72%). Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 12%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 13. Hinshelwood J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 8. Gruda B. 22. Mitoma K. 18. Welbeck D.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 4. Cook L. (C) 8. Scott A. 16. Tavernier M. 22. Kroupi E. J. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
26. Ayari Y. 17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G)	10. Christie R. 51. Dacosta M. 18. Diakite B. 17. Forster F. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 50. Rees-Dottin R. 49. Sadi D. 15. Smith A. 53. Stevens C.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tavernier M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Welbeck D. 🟨,
60', Senesi M. 🟨,
66', Gruda B. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
66', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
71', Tavernier M. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
71', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
77', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
77', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
79', Adli A. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
83', Smith A. 🟨,
85', Petrovic D. 🟨,
89', Kadioglu F. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Kostoulas C. ⚽, van Hecke J. P. (A),
90+9', Jimenez A. ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.

Brighton & Hove has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bournemouth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Brighton & Hove has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Dennis W. (Ankle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Unal E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.12% Bournemouth: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWTL
- AFC Bournemouth
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
25.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	2:1
23.11.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
28.04.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
24.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	3:1
04.04.23	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
04.02.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:0

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