The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 33.4%
Draw 30.6%
West Bromwich Albion 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
30.7%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
30%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
33.3%
26.7%
Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 40%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Swansea (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 40%). West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 26. Casey K. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 35. Ronald 7. Widell M. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
20. Griffiths J. (G) 14. Gilchrist A. 2. Mepham C. 5. Bielik K. (C) 29. Taylor C. 17. Diakite O. 4. Styles C. 11. Johnston M. 21. Price I. 12. Dike D. 9. Maja J.
Substitutes
15. Burgess C. 31. Cooper O. 29. Farman P. (G) 4. Fulton J. 2. Key J. 24. Wales B. . Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.
37. Bostock O. 6. Campbell G. 10. Grant K. 19. Heggebo A. 22. Iling Junior S. 3. Phillips N. 7. Wallace J. 25. Whitwell H. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Morrison J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Eom J. ⚽, Widell M. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Maja J. ⚽,
55', Taylor C. 🟨,
60', Dike D. ↓, Bostock O. ↑,
61', Casey K. ↓, Burgess C. ↑,
61', Franco G. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
69', Johnston M. 🟨,
72', Stamenic M. 🟨,
77', Maja J. ↓, Heggebo A. ↑,
77', Gilchrist A. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
82', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
83', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
83', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
89', Diakite O. ↓, Whitwell H. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
96', Mepham C. 🟨,
100', Whitwell H. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
105+1', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
105+5', Bielik K. ↓, Phillips N. ↑,
105+6', Johnston M. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
107', Ronald ↓, Key J. ↑,
108', 1 - 2, Wallace J. ⚽, Bostock O. (A),
112', 2 - 2, Inoussa Z. ⚽, Key J. (A),
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Cabango B. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Heggebo A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fulton J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Galbraith E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Styles C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Burgess C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Grant K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Inoussa Z. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Wallace J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Wales B. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Mepham C. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Yalcouye M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Bostock O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.
In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
West Bromwich is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
Outrights of English FA Cup for now
West Brom: 0.37% Swansea: 0.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Swansea City - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Fisher A. (G) 
Galbraith E. 
Cabango B. (C) 
Franco G. 
Stamenic M. 
Ronald 
Widell M. 
Eom J. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Bielik K. (C) 
Diakite O. 
Styles C. 
Johnston M. 
Dike D. 
Maja J. 
Burgess C. 
Fulton J. 
Yalcouye M. 
Heggebo A. 
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