Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	FPT Play


	Bournemouth		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.62	4.1	5.5
	1.64	4.2	5.55
	1.66	4.14	5.37	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.68	4.27	5.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	4.18 ↑ (4.09)	5.37 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
59.3%

Draw
22.9%

Crystal Palace
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	11.4%	11.4%

Bournemouth - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Crystal Palace (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bournemouth (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (54 of 69 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.53% – 87.99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bournemouth will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 37. Rayan 22. Kroupi E. J. 16. Tavernier M. (C) 9. Evanilson	1. Henderson D. (C) 23. Canvot J. 5. Lacroix M. 34. Riad C. 2. Munoz D. 8. Lerma J. 18. Kamada D. 55. Devenny J. 11. Johnson B. 22. Larsen J. S. 10. Pino Y.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 18. Diakite B. 11. Doak B. 29. Mandas C. (G) 15. Smith A. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.	44. Benitez W. (G) 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 14. Mateta J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 3. Mitchell T. 26. Richards C. 7. Sarr I. 20. Wharton A.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Canvot J. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Lerma J. (Own goal),
32', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Lacroix M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kamada D. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
46', Pino Y. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
46', Munoz D. ↓, Mitchell T. ↑,
65', Larsen J. S. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
70', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
70', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
76', Riad C. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Brooks D. (A),
80', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
86', Rayan ↓, Adli A. ↑,
86', Tavernier M. ↓, Doak B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2.

Bournemouth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bournemouth is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
18	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TWWTT
- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
25.04.26	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Fiorentina - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.10.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	3:3
19.04.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:0
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0
02.04.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	1:0
06.12.23	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:2
13.05.23	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	2:0
31.12.22	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:2

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