Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Bradford City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.1
	2.92	3.55	2.22
	2.92	3.48	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.25
	2.92	3.54	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.76)	3.5 ↓ (3.56)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
31.8%

Draw
26.6%

Cardiff City
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Bradford City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 26. Tilt C. 3. Touray I. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 17. Wright T. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 24. Swan W.	13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Osho G. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
2. Ashby H. 25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 20. Leigh T. 18. Sibley L. 30. White J. 4. Wright J.	45. Ashford C. 27. Colwill J. 39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 47. Robinson C. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Alexander G.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Turnbull D. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Chambers C. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
26', Tilt C. 🟨,
31', Willock C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Swan W. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
46', Wright T. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
46', Ng P. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Metcalfe J. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
64', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
64', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
68', Neufville J. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
68', Pointon B. ↓, White J. ↑,
70', Baldwin A. 🟨,
75', Colwill J. 🟨,
78', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
85', Salech Y. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
87', White J. 🟨,
90+5', Touray I. ↓, Wright J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bradford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bradford: Pennington M. (Injury) Pointon B. (Inactive) Powell N. (Inactive) Richards L. (Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bradford: Cook A. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bradford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	9	5	2	2	8:5	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League One
04.01.26	Blackpool - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Bradford City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Cardiff City
English League One
10.01.26	Leyton Orient - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.09.25	Cardiff City - Bradford City	1:3

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