Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nacional		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.30	2.35
	2.75	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.92	3.36	2.64
	2.83	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.5
	2.9	3.33	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.51)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
33.3%

Draw
28.8%

Estoril Praia
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Nacional - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marin R. (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 34. Leo Santos (C) 38. Ze Vitor 7. Jensen M. 22. Soares F. 6. Matheus Dias 28. Liziero 8. Baeza M. 99. Pablo Ruan 10. Daniel Junior	1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Ferro 15. Sierra I. 3. Medrano F. 8. Xeka 5. Tsoungui A. 99. Guitane R. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 7. Lacximicant A. 14. Begraoui Y.
Substitutes
88. Deivison 2. de la Cruz D. I. 14. Fernandes I. 11. Gavriel S. 33. Goncalves C. 13. Joao Goncalves (G) 15. Labidi C. 23. Mateus Iseppe 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 26. Silva J. 55. Silva P. 30. Watts	25. Andreou S. 42. Arnolin J. 90. Brito T. 22. Carvalho P. 18. Costa G. 23. Dias D. (G) 98. Garcia F. 80. Gomes L. 6. Jandro 19. Parente T. 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Joao Giao	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Xeka 🟨,
32', Xeka 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Matheus Dias 🟨,
63', Lacximicant A. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
63', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
66', Baeza M. ↓, Deivison ↑,
66', Matheus Dias ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽, Leo Santos (A),
75', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
75', Medrano F. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Leo Santos ⚽, Daniel Junior (A),
79', Soares F. 🟨,
81', Daniel Junior ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
82', Sierra I. 🟨,
85', Tsoungui A. ↓, Jandro ↑,
85', Ferro 🟨,
88', Pablo Ruan ↓, Silva J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.

Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I. (Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Andreou S. (Transfer negotiations)

There are questionable in Nacional: Jose Gomes (Inactive) Nourani M. (Inactive) Ulisses (Broken calfbone)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Estoril Praia - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
10.08.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Marítimo - Nacional	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Tondela - Nacional	Canceled ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLL?W
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
07.08.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Estoril Praia - Torreense	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Alverca - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.03.26	Nacional - Estoril Praia	0:1
26.10.25	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:1
15.02.25	Nacional - Estoril Praia	2:2
15.09.24	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
25.07.21	Nacional - Estoril Praia	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
14.12.19	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:2
Club Friendly
14.07.18	Estoril Praia - Nacional	2:1

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