The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Famalicão 52.2%
Draw 26%
Arouca 21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
26.5%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Famalicão have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Arouca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
In recent outings, Famalicão has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arouca is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arouca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Famalicão has faced a series of away games on the road.
Famalicão carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Famalicão has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:19 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Famalicão against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).