Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Braga		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.24	6.25	12
	1.25	6.5	12
	1.24	6.4	11
	1.22	6.78	12.83
	1.22	6	13
	1.22	6.95	13.75
	1.23	7	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.38)	6.55 ↑ (4.59)	12.32 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
77.7%

Draw
14.6%

Malmö
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.7%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

20.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braga's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	7%	12.3%

Braga - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Braga has a chance of knockout phase (41%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (41%), has a good chance of 3rd (59%).

Malmö has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 0, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.

This event has quality 47, importance 50, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Braga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Malmö is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Braga have a series of guest games.

In this match Braga is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Fabiano Silva (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Malmö: Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Nalic A. (Knee Injury) Siby M. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Berget J. (Injury) Ceesay J. (Muscle Injury) Olsson M. (Thigh Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Braga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
30.10.22	Gil Vicente - Braga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Union Berlin - Braga	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
22.10.22	Estoril Praia - Braga	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Felgueiras - Braga	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Saint-Gilloise - Braga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.10.22	Varbergs BoIS - Malmö	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Malmö - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.10.22	Häcken - Malmö	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Malmö - Djurgården	2:3 ✺
17.10.22	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Malmö - Braga	0:2

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