Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Braga		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.5
	2.05	3.6	3.4
	2.08	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.75	3.67
	2.06	3.72	3.66
	1.95	3.7	3.4
	2	3.78	3.58
	2.08	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	3.53 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
47.1%

Draw
25.7%

Union Berlin
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.7%	6.9%	8.3%

Braga - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 61 - 84.7%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 6 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 76.4% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 2. Gomez V. 6. Fonte J. 4. Niakate S. 26. Borja C. 18. Vitor Carvalho 28. Moutinho J. 16. Zalazar R. 14. Djalo A. 21. Horta R. (C) 23. Banza S.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 31. Knoche R. 4. Leite D. 26. Roussillon J. 18. Juranovic J. 29. Tousart L. 8. Khedira R. (C) 20. Laidouni A. 6. Gosens R. 10. Volland K. 17. Behrens K.
Substitutes
88. Castro 11. Fernandes R. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 17. Mendes J. 15. Oliveira P. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 9. Ruiz A. 5. Saatci S. 12. Sa T. (G)	7. Aaronson B. 23. Bonucci L. 38. Dehl L. 11. Fofana D. D. 19. Haberer J. 3. Jaeckel P. 33. Kral A. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 39. Stein Y. (G) 28. Trimmel C.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Bjelica N.

Preview

Braga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union Berlin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Braga will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Bonucci L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Al Musrati (Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Aaronson B. (Illness) Becker S. (Knock) Doekhi D. (Knock)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Braga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Portimonense - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.11.23	Arouca - Braga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Madrid - Braga	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.11.23	Braga - Portimonense	6:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
01.11.23	Braga - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWT
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Union Berlin - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Napoli - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Union Berlin - Braga	2:3
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Union Berlin - Braga	1:0
15.09.22	Braga - Union Berlin	1:0

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