Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Leiria

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.64	3.56	2.04
	3.58	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.45	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
25.9%

Draw
26.9%

Leiria
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Braga B - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Braga B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Leiria will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Braga B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leiria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leiria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Braga B - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Montalegre - Braga B	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTTW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Leiria - Alverca	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Caldas - Leiria	0:3 ✺
24.02.23	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.22	Leiria - Braga B	2:0
21.03.22	Braga B - Leiria	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Leiria - Braga B	1:1

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