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Current Win Probability
Brentford 77.6%
Draw 14.6%
Sheffield Wednesday 7.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.7%
19%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
16.5%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brentford's performance.
Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield Wednesday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84%
8%
8%
Brentford - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
Brentford will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% โ 98.37%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. 16. Mee B. 21. Meghoma J. 8. Jensen M. 27. Janelt V. 19. Mbeumo B. 14. Carvalho F. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 7. Schade K.
47. Charles P. (G) 33. Otegbayo G. 6. Iorfa D. 3. Lowe M. 13. Paterson C. (C) 8. Ingelsson S. 30. Fusire S. 18. Johnson M. 45. Musaba A. 41. Gassama D. 12. Ugbo I.
Substitutes
24. Damsgaard M. 26. Konak Y. E. 32. Maghoma P. 5. Pinnock E. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 28. Trevitt R. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 11. Wissa Y. 18. Yarmolyuk Y.
34. Barrett K. 5. Bernard D. 26. Hamer B. (G) 9. Lowe J. 17. McNeill C. 2. Palmer L. 32. Reed S. 24. Smith M. 11. Windass J.
Coaches
Frank T.
Rohl D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Schade K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Gassama D. ⚽,
59', Fusire S. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
60', Iorfa D. ↓, Bernard D. ↑,
66', Carvalho F. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
66', Jensen M. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
68', Ugbo I. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
69', Musaba A. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
69', Gassama D. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
70', Meghoma J. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
90', Smith M. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Mbeumo B. (Pen),
1, Smith M. (Pen),
2, Lewis-Potter K. (Pen),
2, Windass J. (Pen),
3, Damsgaard M. (Pen),
3, Lowe J. (Pen),
4, Wissa Y. (Pen),
4, Johnson M. (Pen),
5, Janelt V. (Pen),
5, Palmer L. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Brentford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Brentford is indisputable favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Brentford won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:3 (average 1.8:0.4).