Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport OTT 2
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World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, JioTV app


	Brentford		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.65	4.1	5
	1.65	4.3	5.1	Watch
	1.68	4.16	5.23
	1.69	4.22	4.98	Watch
	1.62	4.2	5.5
	1.7	4.38	4.79	Watch
	1.65	4.3	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	4.23 ↑ (4.11)	5.09 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
58.2%

Draw
22.8%

Ipswich Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.9%	5.1%	9%

Brentford - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (66 of 77 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.89% – 93.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 22. Collins N. 5. Pinnock E. 4. van den Berg S. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 27. Janelt V. 19. Mbeumo B. 24. Damsgaard M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Wissa Y.	1. Muric A. (G) 2. Clarke H. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Phillips K. 21. Ogbene C. 10. Chaplin C. (C) 23. Szmodics S. 27. Hirst G.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho F. 8. Jensen M. 26. Konak Y. E. 16. Mee B. 21. Meghoma J. 7. Schade K. 28. Trevitt R. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	16. Al-Hamadi A. 33. Broadhead N. 7. Burns W. 47. Clarke J. 19. Delap L. 13. Slicker C. (G) 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Frank T.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽, Hirst G. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Hirst G. ⚽, Chaplin C. (A),
35', Ogbene C. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
42', Davis L. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽, Janelt V. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Clarke H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Clarke H. 🟨,
51', 3 - 2, Mbeumo B. (Pen),
69', Clarke H. 🟨,
72', Chaplin C. ↓, Woolfenden L. ↑,
72', Szmodics S. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', Hirst G. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
77', Damsgaard M. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
77', Norgaard C. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
80', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Delap L. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
90+1', Cajuste J. ↓, Townsend C. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 3, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Roerslev Rasmussen M. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 2.

Recent matches Brentford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ipswich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Nunes (Back Injury) Henry R. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Thigh Injury) Thiago I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Groin Injury) Greaves J. (Thigh Injury) Luongo M. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Jensen M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Al-Hamadi A. (Knock) Cajuste J. (Knee Injury) Johnson B. (Thigh Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brentford won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
19.10.24	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	5:3 ✺
28.09.24	Brentford - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.24	Brentford - Leyton Orient	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
19.10.24	Ipswich Town - Everton	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	West Ham United - Ipswich Town	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ipswich Town - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Southampton - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.04.19	Brentford - Ipswich Town	2:0
18.09.18	Ipswich Town - Brentford	1:1
07.04.18	Brentford - Ipswich Town	1:0
19.08.17	Ipswich Town - Brentford	2:0
04.03.17	Ipswich Town - Brentford	1:1
13.08.16	Brentford - Ipswich Town	2:0
09.04.16	Ipswich Town - Brentford	1:3

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