Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brentford		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.55	4.55	5.9
	1.55	4.65	6
	1.59	4.44	5.62	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.6	4.44	5.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	4.4 ↑ (4.37)	5.62 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
61.3%

Draw
21.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	9.9%	12.7%

Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 9 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 67.3% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolverhampton (5.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brentford (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Brentford (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 6. Henderson J. 8. Jensen M. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 36. Mane M. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
20. Ajer K. 48. Bentt L. 45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 11. Nelson R. 5. Pinnock E. 49. Shield O. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	14. Arokodare T. 25. Bentley D. (G) 2. Doherty M. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 17. Pedro Lima 24. Toti 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Kayode M. ⚽, Lewis-Potter K. (A),
24', Armstrong A. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Thiago I. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽, Bellegarde J. (A),
45+1', Krejci L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mane M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
57', Collins N. 🟨,
68', Schade K. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
72', Damsgaard M. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
74', Bellegarde J. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
77', Ajer K. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Arokodare T. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
85', Ouattara Da. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
87', Armstrong A. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
89', Gomes A. 🟨,
90+3', Sa J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wolverhampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brentford has had a series of away games.

Recently, Wolverhampton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Brentford is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Henry R. (Muscle Injury) Hickey A. (Injury) Janelt V. (Foot Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Nelson R. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brentford: 1.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English FA Cup
09.03.26	West Ham United - Brentford	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Brentford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	0:2
25.05.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	1:1
05.10.24	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	5:3
10.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	0:2
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	3:2 ET
05.01.24	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
English Premier League
27.12.23	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:4

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