Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Grandstand ROA
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
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Mexico	FOX Sports 2
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
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Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Singapore	StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	Peacock TV
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+


	Brentford		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4.33
	1.78	3.8	4.4
	1.82	3.95	4.4
	1.82	3.86	4.5
	1.82	3.93	4.43	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.5
	1.83	3.95	4.42	Watch
	1.82	3.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.89 ↑ (3.87)	4.42 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
53.3%

Draw
24.8%

Southampton
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.8%	3.2%	0%

Brentford - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 24. Damsgaard M. 22. Collins N. 5. Pinnock E. 20. Ajer K. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 19. Mbeumo B. 11. Wissa Y. 7. Schade K.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 16. Sugawara Y. 8. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 7. Aribo J. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Armstrong A. 17. Brereton Diaz B.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho F. 26. Konak Y. E. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 16. Mee B. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 28. Trevitt R. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S. 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 19. Archer C. 14. Bree J. 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 10. Lallana A. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 21. Taylor C. 26. Ugochukwu L.
Coaches
Frank T.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
29', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
39', Ajer K. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Mbeumo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Smallbone W. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
46', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
56', Harwood-Bellis T. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),
69', 3 - 0, Wissa Y. ⚽,
74', Damsgaard M. 🟨,
75', Janelt V. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
75', Schade K. ↓, van den Berg S. ↑,
82', Damsgaard M. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
82', Aribo J. ↓, Lallana A. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Sugawara Y. ⚽, Lallana A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Henry R. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Thigh Injury) Thiago I. (Knee Injury) Toney I. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stewart R. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Sulemana K. (Ankle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brentford won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English League Cup
28.08.24	Colchester United - Brentford	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.08.24	Liverpool - Brentford	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Brentford - Wolfsburg	4:4 ✺
03.08.24	Watford - Brentford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTT
- Southampton FC
English League Cup
28.08.24	Cardiff City - Southampton	3:5 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Southampton - Getafe	0:0 ✺
07.08.24	Southampton - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.03.23	Southampton - Brentford	0:2
04.02.23	Brentford - Southampton	3:0
07.05.22	Brentford - Southampton	3:0
11.01.22	Southampton - Brentford	4:1
English League Cup
16.09.20	Southampton - Brentford	0:2
Club Friendly
22.07.17	Brentford - Southampton	2:2

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