The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nuova Cosenza 17.4%
Draw 26.3%
Monza 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
30.2%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
30.9%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-24.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.7%
7.5%
83.7%
Nuova Cosenza - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 7 - 8.8%). Monza will win (votes: 67 - 83.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 7.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 75.7% โ 91.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Cosenza has the most likely position - 17 (38.69%), has project points - 30, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Monza has the most likely position - 4 (21.99%), has project points - 68, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has small quality26, importance68, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Cosenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Monza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Watch
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