Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport
Romania	Sport Extra


	Cagliari		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.38	3.1	3.05
	2.38	3	3.05
	2.5	3.18	3.2
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.4	3.13	3.13	Watch
	2.37	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.97)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cagliari
39.5%

Draw
30.4%

Reggina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reggina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Cagliari - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Cagliari has the most likely position - 4 (9.17%), has project points - 59, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 6 (7.55%), has project points - 55, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 36, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Cagliari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cagliari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cagliari will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.10.22	Ascoli - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Bologna - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Cagliari - Brescia	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Genoa - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Cagliari - Venezia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTL
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
22.10.22	Reggina - Perugia	2:3 ✺
15.10.22	Parma - Reggina	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Modena - Reggina	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Reggina - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches