The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggina 31%
Draw 30.1%
Genoa 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
28.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.3%
34.8%
37%
Reggina - Genoa Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). Genoa will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 23% โ 51%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (7.33%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Genoa has the most likely position - 1 (27.06%), has project points - 67, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (27%).
This event has quality38, importance50, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Reggio Calabria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Genoa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.