Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	18:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	11:00	Disney+
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Costa Rica	08:00	Teletica 7, Teletica
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
El Salvador	08:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	17:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Honduras	08:00	Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Italy	16:00	SKY Go Italia
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	17:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.7
	4.80	3.80	1.70
	5.1	3.75	1.7
	5	3.91	1.72
	4.68	3.96	1.77	Watch
	4.95	3.85	1.7
	4.93	4.11	1.76	Watch
	4.8	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.38)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
19.6%

Draw
24.5%

Arsenal
55.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

25.3%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	5.6%	90.7%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Brighton & Hove (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Arsenal (1.17) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Arsenal (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - Arsenal & Yes (3.40) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.7% – 98.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Arsenal (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 44. Vuskovic L. 4. Struijk P. 21. Boscagli O. 14. Andres C. 13. Gross P. (C) 25. Gomez D. 26. Ayari Y. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 39. Bruno Guimaraes 7. Saka B. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 17. Tzolis C. 29. Havertz K.
Substitutes
20. Costinha 12. David P. 3. Hadjam J. 33. O'Riley M. 15. Osman I. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 30. Svoboda M. 35. Yalcouye M.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Gross P. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
33', Kostoulas C. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Kostoulas C. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
45+2', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Andres C. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
61', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Merino M. ↑,
61', Timber J. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
71', Struijk P. 🟨,
73', Odegaard M. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
73', Tzolis C. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
77', Kostoulas C. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
77', Kadioglu F. ↓, Costinha ↑,
81', Saka B. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
86', Andres C. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
86', Struijk P. ↓, Svoboda M. ↑,
86', Gomez D. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
90+1', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
90+7', Rice D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 0.

Brighton & Hove has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arsenal is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Brighton & Hove may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arsenal has had a run of games away from home.

Arsenal carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Brighton & Hove: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hinshelwood J. (Injury) Minteh Y. (Injury) Mitoma K. (Hamstring Injury) Svoboda M. (Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Knee Injury) Yohanna Z. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Confirmed absences for Arsenal: Saliba W. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brighton & Hove: Hadjam J. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Arsenal: Mosquera C. (Muscle Injury) White B. (Groin Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brighton & Hove has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brighton & Hove against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 62.39% Brighton: 4.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.97%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:5 ✺
05.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tromsø	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLW
- Arsenal FC
English League Cup
15.09.26	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
English Premier League
04.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	1:1
31.08.24	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.04.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:3
17.12.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0

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