Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 5
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN
Estonia	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	13:00	SÝN Sport 3
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Ireland	14:00	NOW
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	SuperSport 5
Lithuania	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	Medianet
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	07:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay, Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	14:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 2
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	15:00	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	21:00	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
United Kingdom	14:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.25
	1.44	4.80	6.25
	1.46	4.7	6.5
	1.49	4.8	6.57
	1.52	4.83	5.9	Watch
	1.46	4.75	6.5
	1.54	4.83	6.26	Watch
	1.47	4.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	4.8 ↑ (4.32)	6.3 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
64.8%

Draw
20%

Crystal Palace
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5%	7.5%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Brighton & Hove (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 44. Vuskovic L. 5. Dunk L. (C) 21. Boscagli O. 13. Gross P. 14. Andres C. 25. Gomez D. 26. Ayari Y. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C.	44. Benitez W. (G) 6. Canvot J. 26. Richards C. 21. Ahanor H. 25. Khalaili A. 20. Wharton A. (C) 23. Timber Q. 3. Mitchell T. 18. Kamada D. 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J.
Substitutes
20. Costinha 3. Hadjam J. 8. Hinshelwood J. 33. O'Riley M. 15. Osman I. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 30. Svoboda M. 35. Yalcouye M.	19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 14. Mateta J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 11. McNeil D. 30. Mingueza O. 9. Nketiah E. 24. Osorio D. 7. Sarr I.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Canvot J. (Own goal),
7', 2 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Boscagli O. (A),
10', 3 - 0, Ayari Y. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
29', Gross P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Timber Q. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Kostoulas C. ⚽,
51', Kamada D. 🟨,
53', Ahanor H. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
61', Larsen J. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
61', Pino Y. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
64', Andres C. 🟨,
71', Gross P. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
71', Kostoulas C. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
81', Kamada D. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
81', Boscagli O. ↓, Hadjam J. ↑,
81', Ayari Y. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Hinshelwood J. ⚽,
90', Dunk L. ↓, Svoboda M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Brighton & Hove arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Crystal Palace has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Brighton & Hove is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Brighton & Hove: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Minteh Y. (Injury) Mitoma K. (Hamstring Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Knee Injury) Yohanna Z. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Disasi A. (Red Card) Riad C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brighton & Hove: Struijk P. (Rest).

Doubtful / questionable for Crystal Palace: Chilwell B. (Injury) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Brighton & Hove in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brighton & Hove has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brighton & Hove against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16
17	Crystal Palace	8	2	1	5	9:19	-10	7

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.12% Crystal Palace: 0.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Kauno Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWWW
- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
05.04.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
15.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:3
03.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	4:1
21.12.23	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
15.03.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:0

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