Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Foot+ Multisports 1, myCANAL
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go
Singapore	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	True Premier Football 4
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.47	4.8	6.25
	1.47	4.95	6.8
	1.48	4.84	6.73
	1.51	4.59	6.75	Watch
	1.5	4.6	7
	1.5	4.83	6.66	Watch
	1.47	4.95	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.79 ↓ (5.22)	6.62 ↓ (8.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
65.2%

Draw
20.2%

Ipswich Town
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.4%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	10.9%	6.5%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 29. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 41. Hinshelwood J. 17. Minteh Y. 20. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 22. Mitoma K. 14. Rutter G. 18. Welbeck D.	1. Muric A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 26. O'Shea D. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 8. Phillips K. 7. Burns W. 20. Hutchinson O. 23. Szmodics S. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
11. Adingra S. 10. Enciso J. 30. Estupinan P. 28. Ferguson E. 3. Igor 24. Kadioglu F. 15. Moder J. 23. Steele J. (G) 4. Webster A.	12. Cajuste J. 10. Chaplin C. 47. Clarke J. 27. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 25. Luongo M. 21. Ogbene C. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Morsy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Minteh Y. 🟨,
51', Phillips K. 🟨,
57', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
59', Burns W. ↓, Ogbene C. ↑,
59', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
59', Szmodics S. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
60', Hinshelwood J. 🟨,
67', Rutter G. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
68', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Kadioglu F. ↑,
68', Minteh Y. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
85', Morsy S. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
85', Hutchinson O. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
85', Welbeck D. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
85', Veltman J. 🟨,
90+4', Verbruggen B. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 2.

Brighton & Hove in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ipswich is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brighton & Hove is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) O'Riley M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Broadhead N. (Thigh Injury) Clarke H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Donacien J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kadioglu F. (Thigh Injury) Wieffer M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Burns W. (Thigh Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Brighton & Hove to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
31.08.24	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crawley Town	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWWWW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
31.08.24	Ipswich Town - Fulham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	4:1 ✺
17.08.24	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Ipswich Town - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.02.17	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	1:1
27.09.16	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
29.12.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:1
29.08.15	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3
21.01.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	3:2
16.09.14	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
22.03.14	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:2

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