Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	17:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	17:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	21:00	Toffee Live
Benin	16:00	Benin TV
Bolivia	11:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport 4P
Botswana	17:00	YTV
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Cote D Ivoire	15:00	NCI
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	17:00	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:00	ESPN
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	18:00	Viaplay
France	17:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4, Canal+ Live 9
Germany	17:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 6, WOW
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 3
Guinea	15:00	CIS
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	15:00	SÝN
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Ireland	16:00	NOW
Israel	18:00	Sport 4
Italy	17:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv, K24
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	17:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	19:00	MBC 11
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	16:00	NTA Sports
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Philippines	23:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	17:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	16:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	18:00	Voyo
Senegal	15:00	RTS 2
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	17:00	Voyo
Slovenia	17:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	17:00	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	17:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Tanzania	18:00	UTV
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United Kingdom	16:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	NBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.1	3.5
	1.85	4	3.7
	1.95	4.1	3.55
	2	4.2	3.55
	1.91	4.11	3.78	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.3
	2.01	4.16	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.29)	4.07 ↑ (3.71)	3.57 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
49.6%

Draw
23.6%

Manchester United
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brighton & Hove Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	10.8%	10.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 58 - 80.6%). Man Utd will win (votes: 8 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 71.5% – 89.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 30. Gross P. 20. Milner J. 25. Gomez D. 13. Hinshelwood J. 29. De Cuyper M. 18. Welbeck D.	31. Lammens S. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 11. Minteh Y. 33. O'Riley M. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 10. Cunha M. 39. Fletcher T. 26. Heaven A. 61. Lacey S. 12. Malacia T. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Dorgu P. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
45+3', Mainoo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Cuyper M. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
59', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
59', Gomez D. ↓, March S. ↑,
59', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
62', Dorgu P. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
74', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
74', Mount M. ↓, Fletcher T. ↑,
75', Mazraoui N. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
82', Shaw L. ↓, Malacia T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Man Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.

In recent matches, Brighton & Hove has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man Utd is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brighton & Hove could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Thigh Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Inactive) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Sesko B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16
16	Manchester Utd	8	1	4	3	10:13	-3	7

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
17.05.26	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Manchester United
English Premier League
17.05.26	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Manchester United - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2
19.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1
19.05.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:2
16.09.23	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
04.05.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	1:0

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