What is the expert prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 24, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Benin	Benin TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Disney+
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4, Canal+ Live 9
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 6, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	SÝN
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv, K24
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	HBO Max
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	NTA Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Senegal	RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.1	3.5
	1.85	4	3.7
	1.95	4.1	3.55
	2	4.2	3.55
	1.91	4.11	3.78	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.3
	2.01	4.16	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.29)	4.07 ↑ (3.71)	3.57 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
49.6%

Draw
23.6%

Manchester United
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brighton & Hove Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	10.8%	10.8%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (58 of 72 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 89.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 30. Gross P. 20. Milner J. 25. Gomez D. 13. Hinshelwood J. 29. De Cuyper M. 18. Welbeck D.	31. Lammens S. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 11. Minteh Y. 33. O'Riley M. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 10. Cunha M. 39. Fletcher T. 26. Heaven A. 61. Lacey S. 12. Malacia T. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Dorgu P. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
45+3', Mainoo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Cuyper M. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
59', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
59', Gomez D. ↓, March S. ↑,
59', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
62', Dorgu P. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
74', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
74', Mount M. ↓, Fletcher T. ↑,
75', Mazraoui N. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
82', Shaw L. ↓, Malacia T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Man Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.

In recent matches, Brighton & Hove has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man Utd is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brighton & Hove could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Thigh Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Inactive) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Sesko B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
17.05.26	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Manchester United
English Premier League
17.05.26	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Manchester United - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2
19.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1
19.05.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:2
16.09.23	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
04.05.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	1:0

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