What is the expert prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 3, CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, FanCode, FanCode, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3	3.6	2.2
	3.05	3.7	2.25
	3.19	3.72	2.26
	3.23	3.81	2.18	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.22	3.8	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.68 ↓ (3.86)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
30.8%

Draw
26%

Liverpool
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.3%	19.2%	63.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 9 - 18%). Liverpool will win (votes: 33 - 66%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 52.9% – 79.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 20. Milner J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 10. Mac Allister A. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
26. Ayari Y. 17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	14. Chiesa F. 2. Gomez J. 17. Jones C. 68. Morrison K. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Ekitike H. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Welbeck D. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
25', Minteh Y. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Kerkez M. ⚽,
45', Konate I. 🟨,
45+5', Gomez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Welbeck D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
61', Frimpong J. 🟨,
63', Frimpong J. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
68', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
68', Hurzeler F. 🟨,
76', Minteh Y. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
76', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
76', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
77', Konate I. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
79', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
83', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
83', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
85', Dunk L. 🟨,
90', Chiesa F. 🟨,
90+1', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
90+4', Wieffer M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liverpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Gomez J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).

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Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 0.02%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Liverpool	31	14	7	10	50:42	8	49
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	41:37	4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL
- Liverpool FC
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Liverpool - Galatasaray	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
English Premier League
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
19.05.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	3:2
02.11.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
English League Cup
30.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:3
English Premier League
31.03.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
08.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:2

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