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Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Paris Saint-Germain Liverpool
    Paris Saint-Germain Liverpool
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.78 ↓
    (1.89)    		 4.2 ↑
    (3.99)    		 4.19 ↑
    (3.7)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Paris Saint-Germain
    54.1%    		Draw
    22.9%    		Liverpool
    23%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    50.4% 23.8% 25.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    51.9% 23.1% 25%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    87.7% 7.7% 4.6%

    Paris Saint Germain - Liverpool Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • TQ, OT - PSG (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - PSG (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (114 of 130 users predict this - 87.69%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.04% – 93.34%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Liverpool (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    39. RussiaSafonov M. (G)
      2. MoroccoHakimi A.
      5. BrazilMarquinhos (C)
    51. EcuadorPacho W.
    25. PortugalMendes N.
    33. FranceZaire-Emery W.
    17. PortugalVitinha
    87. PortugalNeves J.
    14. FranceDoue D.
    10. FranceDembele O.
      7. GeorgiaKvaratskhelia K.
    		25. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G)
    30. NetherlandsFrimpong J.
      5. FranceKonate I.
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C)
      2. EnglandGomez J.
    38. NetherlandsGravenberch R.
    10. ArgentinaMac Allister A.
      7. GermanyWirtz F.
      8. HungarySzoboszlai D.
      6. HungaryKerkez M.
    22. FranceEkitike H.
    Substitutes
      4. BrazilBeraldo L.
    30. FranceChevalier L. (G)
    27. SpainFernandez D.
    21. FranceHernandez L.
    19. SouthLee Kang-In
    89. ItalyMarin R. (G)
    24. FranceMayulu S.
    49. SenegalMbaye I.
      9. PortugalRamos G.
      6. UkraineZabarnyi I.
    		14. ItalyChiesa F.
    18. NetherlandsGakpo C.
      9. SwedenIsak A.
    17. EnglandJones C.
    74. PolandMisciur K. (G)
    73. EnglandNgumoha R.
    42. EnglandNyoni T.
    26. ScotlandRobertson A.
    11. EgyptSalah M.
    28. EnglandWoodman F. (G)
    Coaches
         SpainLuis Enrique
    		     NetherlandsSlot A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 11', 1 - 0, Doue D. ⚽,
    • 28', Gomez J. 🟨,
    • 31', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 65', 2 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Neves J. (A),
    • 78', Doue D. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
    • 78', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
    • 78', Wirtz F. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
    • 78', Ekitike H. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
    • 78', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
    • 88', Dembele O. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
    • 90+1', Frimpong J. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • PSG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Liverpool is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in PSG: Barcola B. (Ankle Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Davies H. (Inactive) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Liverpool: Isak A. (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

    • Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
    PSG: 11.52% Liverpool: 4.9%

    Standings

    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG11006:153
    13Liverpool11002:113

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Paris Saint-Germain
    French Ligue 1
    03.04.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:1 ✺
    21.03.26 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 0:4 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.03.26 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺
    11.03.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1
    06.03.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9
    WWWWL
    - Liverpool FC
    English FA Cup
    04.04.26 Manchester City - Liverpool 4:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    21.03.26 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Liverpool - Galatasaray 4:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    15.03.26 Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    10.03.26 Galatasaray - Liverpool 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3
    LLWTL
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League
    11.03.25 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 penalties
    05.03.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 0:1
    28.11.18 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 2:1
    18.09.18 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Paris Saint-Germain
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain ✺
    French Ligue 1
    10.10.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans ✺
    - Liverpool FC
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 LASK Linz - Liverpool ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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