Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 9

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
India	19:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	15:00	NOW
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	Sporty TV
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	15:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	10:00	Paramount+
International	14:00	Disney+


	Bristol City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.81	3.68	4.41	Watch
	1.83	3.79	4.55
	1.82	3.76	4.24	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.6
	1.8	3.72	4.39	Watch
	1.81	3.68	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	4.37 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
52.6%

Draw
25.6%

Cardiff City
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Bristol City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 19. Tanner G. 14. Vyner Z. 15. McNally L. 3. Pring C. 8. Williams J. 12. Knight J. (C) 7. Hirakawa Y. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 30. Armstrong S.	21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 12. Chambers C. 23. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 8. Ralls J. (C) 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 20. El Ghazi A. 47. Robinson C.
Substitutes
23. Bajic S. (G) 6. Bird M. 40. Earthy G. 9. Mayulu F. 2. McCrorie R. 29. McGuane M. 4. Naismith K. 17. Sykes M. 21. Wells N.	5. Daland J. 1. Horvath E. (G) 15. Kanga W. 19. Meite Y. 11. O'Dowda C. 35. Rinomhota A. 3. Siopis M. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
Coaches
Manning L.	Riza O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pring C. ↓, McCrorie R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', McCrorie R. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Tanner O. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
55', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
55', Mehmeti A. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
55', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
65', Ralls J. 🟨,
66', El Ghazi A. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
66', Robinson C. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, McNally L. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
77', Tanner O. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
77', Ralls J. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
84', Robertson A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
84', Twine S. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
90+2', Sykes M. 🟨,
90+4', Goutas D. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 2.

Recent matches Bristol City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bristol City is a favorite.

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Groin Injury) Bell S. (Leg Injury) Benarous A. (Muscle Injury) Dickie R. (Muscle Injury) McCrorie R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Daland J. (Knock) Etete K. (Leg Injury) Fish W. (Muscle Injury) O'Dowda C. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
02.10.24	Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bristol City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Derby County - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
01.10.24	Cardiff City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Hull City - Cardiff City	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Cardiff City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Derby County - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.03.24	Bristol City - Cardiff City	0:1
28.10.23	Cardiff City - Bristol City	2:0
04.03.23	Cardiff City - Bristol City	2:0
21.08.22	Bristol City - Cardiff City	2:0
22.01.22	Bristol City - Cardiff City	3:2
28.08.21	Cardiff City - Bristol City	1:2
06.02.21	Bristol City - Cardiff City	0:2

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