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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 25.7%
Draw 26.6%
Middlesbrough 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
27.2%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
27.6%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cardiff City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
0%
88.9%
Cardiff City - Middlesbrough Predictions
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 5. Daland J. 11. O'Dowda C. 18. Robertson A. 3. Siopis M. 19. Meite Y. 10. Ramsey A. (C) 16. Willock C. 15. Kanga W.
1. Dieng S. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 12. Ayling L. (C) 5. Clarke M. 30. Neto Borges 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Jones I. 22. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D. 20. Azaz F.
Substitutes
21. Alnwick J. (G) 45. Ashford C. 23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 34. El Ghazi A. 4. Goutas D. 35. Rinomhota A. 47. Robinson C. 32. Tanner O.
4. Barlaser D. 31. Brynn S. (G) 14. Gilbert A. 17. Hamilton M. 41. Hunt H. 9. Latte Lath E. . Lennon C. 49. McCabe L. 2. Simpson N.
Coaches
Bulut E.
Carrick M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Siopis M. 🟨,
39', Daland J. 🟨,
43', Daland J. ↓, Goutas D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Meite Y. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Clarke M. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
62', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
62', Willock C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
69', Morris A. 🟨,
70', Burgzorg D. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
70', Conway T. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
73', Kanga W. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Ramsey A. (Own goal),
90', Azaz F. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
90+3', Jones I. ↓, Simpson N. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Middlesbrough will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Cardiff: Collins J.
(Leg Injury)
Davies I.
(Knee Injury)
Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
Fish W.
(Ankle Injury)
Ralls J.
(Groin Injury)
Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Forss M.
(Muscle Injury)
Howson J.
(Leg Injury)
Smith T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
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Horvath E. (G) 
Ng P. 
Daland J. 
O'Dowda C. 
Robertson A. 
Siopis M. 
Meite Y. 
Ramsey A. (C) 
Dieng S. (G) 
Dijksteel A. 
Neto Borges 
Conway T. 
Burgzorg D. 
Rinomhota A. 
Bulut E. 
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