Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ESPN 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
South-america	ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Hull City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.95	3.71	3.71
	1.83	3.84	4.45
	1.81	3.75	4.3	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.33
	1.85	3.89	4.3	Watch
	1.95	3.71	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	3.74 ↓ (3.76)	4.18 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
51.6%

Draw
25.6%

Cardiff City
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

21.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hull City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 6. McLoughlin S. 23. Drameh C. 27. Slater R. 25. Zambrano O. 8. Mehlem M. 33. Belloumi M. 9. Bedia C. 10. Omur A.	21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 2. Fish W. 17. Collins J. 11. O'Dowda C. 20. El Ghazi A. 18. Robertson A. 8. Ralls J. (C) 27. Colwill R. 47. Robinson C.
Substitutes
19. Alzate S. 17. Burns F. 48. Burstow M. 3. Giles R. 44. Kamara A. 7. Millar L. 45. Palmer K. 22. Rushworth C. (G) 18. Simons X.	45. Ashford C. 37. Davies T. 49. Giles L. 1. Horvath E. (G) 15. Kanga W. 35. Rinomhota A. 32. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
Coaches
Walter T.	Riza O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Fish W. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽, El Ghazi A. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Belloumi M. ⚽, Zambrano O. (A),
22', Collins J. 🟨,
28', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Belloumi M. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
40', Fish W. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, Zambrano O. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
57', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
59', Belloumi M. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
61', Collins J. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
62', Robinson C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
69', Slater R. 🟨,
72', Omur A. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
73', Slater R. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
73', Zambrano O. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
74', O'Dowda C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
74', El Ghazi A. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
75', Ng P. 🟨,
76', Mehlem M. 🟨,
83', Mehlem M. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Bedia C. (Pen),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 5.

Recent matches Hull is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cardiff has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

There will not play in Hull: Cartwright H. (Hand Injury) Longman R. (Shoulder Injury) Sinik D. (Leg Injury) Smith A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Bagan J. (Red Card) Daland J. (Knock) Davies I. (Knee Injury) Etete K. (Leg Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Alzate S. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hull won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
20.09.24	Stoke City - Hull City	1:3 ✺
13.09.24	Hull City - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leeds United - Hull City	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hull City - Millwall	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Plymouth Argyle - Hull City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTT
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
21.09.24	Cardiff City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Derby County - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Cardiff City - Southampton	3:5 ✺
English League Championship
25.08.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.24	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:3
16.12.23	Hull City - Cardiff City	3:0
04.02.23	Hull City - Cardiff City	1:0
08.11.22	Cardiff City - Hull City	2:3
15.04.22	Hull City - Cardiff City	2:1
24.11.21	Cardiff City - Hull City	0:1
22.07.20	Cardiff City - Hull City	3:0

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