The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 32%
Draw 31.1%
Millwall 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
31.3%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
31.7%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
18.2%
63.6%
Cardiff City - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 4. Goutas D. 23. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 8. Ralls J. (C) 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 20. El Ghazi A. 47. Robinson C.
1. Jensen L. (G) 39. Honeyman G. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 24. De Norre C. 23. Saville G. 25. Esse R. 18. Leonard R. 19. Watmore D. 17. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 17. Collins J. 1. Horvath E. (G) 15. Kanga W. 44. Kpakio R. 19. Meite Y. 35. Rinomhota A. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
11. Azeez F. 45. Harding W. 99. Ivanovic M. 16. Kelly D. 44. Massey A. 2. McNamara D. 13. Roberts L. (G) 27. Trueman C. (G) 3. Wallace M.
Coaches
Riza O.
Harris N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Chambers C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Ng P. ⚽, Ralls J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Robinson C. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
62', El Ghazi A. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
62', Honeyman G. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
64', De Norre C. 🟨,
75', Saville G. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
80', Tanner O. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
87', Cooper J. 🟨,
90+1', Leonard R. 🟨,
90+3', Colwill R. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Millwall is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Millwall have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cardiff: Daland J.
(Knock)
Davies I.
(Knee Injury)
Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Bradshaw T.
(Muscle Injury)
Coburn J.
(Knock)
Emakhu A.
(Red Card)
Mitchell B.
(Hip Injury)
Our prediction for today's Millwall to win the game is with odds 2.43.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:16 (average 0.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 0.8:0.4).
United-kingdom
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Alnwick J. (G) 
Goutas D. 
Bagan J. 
Robertson A. 
Colwill R. 
El Ghazi A. 
Jensen L. (G) 
De Norre C. 
Saville G. 
Collins J. 
Horvath E. (G) 
Kanga W. 
Rinomhota A. 
Turnbull D. 
Harding W. 
Ivanovic M. 
Riza O. 
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