The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 67%
Draw 19.8%
Plymouth Argyle 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.7%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
22.4%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bristol City will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 15. McNally L. 3. Pring C. 6. Bird M. 12. Knight J. (C) 7. Hirakawa Y. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 21. Wells N.
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 44. Palsson V. 17. Gibson L. 2. Mumba B. 20. Randell A. 4. Houghton J. (C) 27. Forshaw A. 3. Ogbeta N. 35. Issaka F. 9. Hardie R.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 5. Atkinson R. 23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 27. Cornick H. 40. Earthy G. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 24. Roberts H.
28. Al Hajj R. 15. Bundu M. 19. Gray A. 18. Gyabi D. 25. Marosi M. (G) 14. Obafemi M. 34. Roberts C. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Manning L.
Rooney W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Palsson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Twine S. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
59', Hardie R. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
60', Issaka F. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Knight J. (A),
66', Wells N. 🟨,
66', Grimshaw D. 🟨,
67', Twine S. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
75', Wells N. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
80', Houghton J. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
88', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
89', Forshaw A. 🟨,
90', 4 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Bird M. (A),
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bristol City is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bell S.
(Leg Injury)
Benarous A.
(Hamstring Injury)
McCrorie R.
(Muscle Injury)
Sykes M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tanner G.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I.
(Groin Injury)
Edwards J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Galloway B.
(Ankle Injury)
Hazard C.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Leg Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.2:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).
Hungary
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O'Leary M. (G) 
Vyner Z. 
Hirakawa Y. 
Mehmeti A. 
Wells N. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Palsson V. 
Issaka F. 
Hardie R. 
Bajic S. (G) 
Al Hajj R. 
Bundu M. 
Gray A. 
Marosi M. (G) 
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