Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 14

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Plymouth Argyle		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.8
	2.37	3.55	2.86	Watch
	2.4	3.62	2.95
	2.33	3.63	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.88
	2.36	3.62	2.83	Watch
	2.37	3.55	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
40.2%

Draw
26.6%

Portsmouth
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	35.3%	29.4%

Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 2. Mumba B. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 6. Szucs K. 29. Sorinola M. 4. Houghton J. (C) 18. Gyabi D. 10. Whittaker M. 28. Al Hajj R. 35. Issaka F. 19. Gray A.	13. Schmid N. (G) 2. Williams J. 5. Poole R. (C) 16. McIntyre T. 3. Ogilvie C. 8. Potts F. 21. Dozzell A. 30. Ritchie M. 49. Lang C. 23. Murphy J. 10. Yengi K.
Substitutes
15. Bundu M. 27. Forshaw A. 9. Hardie R. 25. Marosi M. (G) 14. Obafemi M. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 34. Roberts C. 11. Wright C.	31. Archer J. (G) 24. Devlin T. 25. Kamara A. 17. Moxon O. 11. O'Mahony M. 7. Pack M. 15. Saydee C. 20. Silvera S. 4. Towler R.
Coaches
Rooney W.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Sorinola M. 🟨,
25', Gray A. 🟨,
34', Gyabi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
62', Al Hajj R. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
62', Issaka F. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
65', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
67', Lang C. 🟨,
70', Gray A. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
74', Yengi K. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
74', Ritchie M. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
78', Potts F. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Obafemi M. ⚽, Grimshaw D. (A),
85', Dozzell A. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
85', Murphy J. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
90', Whittaker M. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2.

Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Muscle Injury) Galloway B. (Ankle Injury) Gibson L. (Thigh Injury) Hazard C. (Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bishop C. (Heart Problems) Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Knee Injury) Lane P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Schmid N. (Concussion) Shaughnessy C. (Calf Injury) Williams J. (Hip Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 5 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:28 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
02.11.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End	3:3 ✺
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0 ✺
05.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
02.11.24	Hull City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.23	Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth	3:1
17.09.22	Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
15.03.22	Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth	1:0
21.09.21	Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
06.02.21	Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
16.11.20	Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth	2:2
09.02.19	Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth	1:1

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