Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Plymouth Argyle		Watford

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.14	3.53	2.22	Watch
	3.22	3.56	2.25
	3.12	3.58	2.22	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.3
	3.13	3.54	2.22	Watch
	3.14	3.53	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
30.3%

Draw
27%

Watford
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Plymouth Argyle - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 6. Szucs K. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 17. Gibson L. (C) 29. Sorinola M. 20. Randell A. 18. Gyabi D. 2. Mumba B. 10. Whittaker M. 14. Obafemi M. 19. Gray A.	1. Bachmann D. (G) 45. Andrews R. 5. Porteous R. 6. Pollock M. 37. Larouci Y. 22. Morris J. 34. Baah K. 10. Louza I. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 8. Chakvetadze G. 19. Bayo V.
Substitutes
28. Al Hajj R. 15. Bundu M. 27. Forshaw A. 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 25. Marosi M. (G) 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 11. Wright C.	23. Bond J. (G) 20. Doumbia M. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 52. Ramirez-Espain L. 12. Sema K. 3. Sierralta F. 15. Tikvic A. 11. Vata R.
Coaches
Rooney W.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', Mumba B. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Bayo V. ⚽, Larouci Y. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Gray A. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Porteous R. ⚽, Pollock M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Gibson L. 🟨,
69', Whittaker M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
74', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
79', Obafemi M. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
85', Larouci Y. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
89', Porteous R. 🟨,
90+4', Morris J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
90+4', Baah K. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Gray A. ⚽, Bundu M. (A),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Watford will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Muscle Injury) Galloway B. (Ankle Injury) Gibson L. (Thigh Injury) Hazard C. (Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Dele-Bashiru T. (Injury) Ebosele F. (Yellow Cards) Ngakia J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ogbonna A. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
09.11.24	Derby County - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End	3:3 ✺
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLTL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
08.11.24	Watford - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Swansea City - Watford	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Watford	2:6 ✺
26.10.24	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leeds United - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
27.08.24	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
English League Championship
01.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Watford	3:3
12.08.23	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0

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