Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hungary	13:30	Net4+
United Kingdom	12:30	Sky Sports+
Usa	07:30	Paramount+


	Bristol City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.6
	2.71	3.25	2.66	Watch
	2.82	3.22	2.72
	2.77	3.17	2.68	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.62
	2.74	3.28	2.59	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	2.66 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
34.6%

Draw
29.6%

Burnley
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Bristol City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Burnley will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 15. McNally L. 40. Earthy G. 29. McGuane M. 12. Knight J. (C) 24. Roberts H. 6. Bird M. 21. Wells N. 11. Mehmeti A.	1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. (C) 11. Anthony J. 28. Mejbri H. 30. Koleosho L. 9. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 5. Atkinson R. 23. Bajic S. (G) 27. Cornick H. 7. Hirakawa Y. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 3. Pring C. 10. Twine S.	39. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 42. Massengo H. 15. Redmond N. 7. Sarmiento J.
Coaches
Manning L.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', McNally L. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Earthy G. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
66', Roberts H. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
66', Mehmeti A. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
66', Wells N. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
67', Esteve M. 🟨,
69', Mejbri H. 🟨,
70', Trafford J. 🟨,
74', Lucas Pires 🟨,
75', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
76', Koleosho L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
79', Lucas Pires ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
85', Brownhill J. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
88', Bird M. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
90+4', Dickie R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bristol City: Bell S. (Leg Injury) Benarous A. (Muscle Injury) McCrorie R. (Muscle Injury) Naismith K. (Injury) Sykes M. (Muscle Injury) Tanner G. (Knee Injury) Twine S. (Thigh Injury) Williams J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Foster L. (Knee Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Knee Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury) Worrall J. (Foot Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.9:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
09.11.24	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Bristol City - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
26.10.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stoke City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWTT
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
10.11.24	Burnley - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
07.11.24	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Millwall - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Hull City - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.04.23	Bristol City - Burnley	1:2
17.09.22	Burnley - Bristol City	2:1
English FA Cup
28.01.17	Burnley - Bristol City	2:0
English League Championship
28.12.15	Burnley - Bristol City	4:0
29.08.15	Bristol City - Burnley	1:2
06.04.13	Burnley - Bristol City	3:1
23.10.12	Bristol City - Burnley	3:4

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