Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5.4	4.4	1.58
	5.5	4.46	1.6
	5.3	4.49	1.61	Watch
	5	4	1.62
	5.59	4.43	1.64	Watch
	5	4.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (4.75)	4.35 ↑ (3.9)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
18.1%

Draw
22.1%

Manchester United
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.2%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	5.7%	80.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Man Utd (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Wolverhampton (4.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (71 of 88 users predict this - 80.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.43% – 88.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Man Utd (votes: 36 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 12. Agbadou E. 24. Toti (C) 26. Hoever K. 27. Bellegarde J. 7. Andre 37. Krejci L. 6. Wolfe D. M. 9. Larsen J. S. 10. Arias J.	31. Lammens S. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 26. Heaven A. 23. Shaw L. 16. Diallo A. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 2. Dalot D. 19. Mbeumo B. 10. Cunha M. 7. Mount M.
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 3. Bueno H. 4. Bueno S. 23. Chirewa T. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 28. Lopez F. 36. Mane M. 1. Sa J. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 61. Lacey S. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 6. Martinez Li. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Fernandes B. ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
38', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
44', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Bellegarde J. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Krejci L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
54', Bellegarde J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Mount M. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
69', Mazraoui N. ↓, Martinez Li. ↑,
69', Heaven A. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
69', Larsen J. S. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
70', Arias J. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
70', Toti ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
78', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
81', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
82', 1 - 4, Fernandes B. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Dalot D. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
84', Mount M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
86', Hoever K. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
90+6', Zirkzee J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.

Wolverhampton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Man Utd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Man Utd is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Bentley D. (Ankle Injury) Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury) Joao Gomes (Yellow Cards) Lopez F. (Muscle Injury) Munetsi M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Sesko B. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
03.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Manchester United
English Premier League
04.12.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.04.25	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
26.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	2:0
01.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	3:4
14.08.23	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
13.05.23	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
31.12.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	0:1
03.01.22	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1

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