Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.38
	3.15	3.25	2.4
	3.23	3.3	2.41
	3.17	3.32	2.32	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.37	3.31	2.32	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.1%

Draw
29.4%

Nottingham Forest
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wolverhampton Wanderers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Nottingham will win (votes: 40 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 62.4% – 85.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nottingham (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Nottingham (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 12. Agbadou E. 24. Toti (C) 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 6. Wolfe D. M. 10. Arias J. 9. Larsen J. S. 27. Bellegarde J.	26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 14. Ndoye D. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 4. Bueno S. 23. Chirewa T. 2. Doherty M. 26. Hoever K. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 36. Mane M. 5. Munetsi M. 1. Sa J. (G)	44. Abbott Z. 30. Boly W. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Joao Gomes 🟨,
61', Anderson E. 🟨,
67', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
67', Bellegarde J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
67', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
67', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
81', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
81', Arias J. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
81', Mosquera Y. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
85', Joao Gomes ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
90+3', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0.

Wolverhampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nottingham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nottingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Bentley D. (Ankle Injury) Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury) Lopez F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Muscle Injury) Bakwa D. (Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Gunn A. (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Doherty M. (Knee Injury) Krejci L. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Nottingham will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
30.11.25	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Malmö	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:3
31.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
13.04.24	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2
09.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	1:1
01.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
English League Cup
11.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 pen.
English Premier League
15.10.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	1:0

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