Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield Wednesday		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.46	4.4	6.5
	1.48	4.65	6.35
	1.44	4.4	6.2
	1.49	4.64	6.68
	1.47	4.33	6.5
	1.49	4.65	6.7	Watch
	1.45	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	4.49 ↑ (4)	6.6 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
64.6%

Draw
21.1%

Bristol Rovers
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.3%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.2%	4.3%	8.5%

Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheffield Wednesday will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 14).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (27.68%), has project points - 91, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (62%), has a chance of win league (28%).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 18 (8.14%), has project points - 54, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 46, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sheff Wed is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol Rovers is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
22.10.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Leicester City U21	2:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Cambridge United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWL
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
22.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:4 ✺
11.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWWW

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