Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Derby County		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5.82
	1.6	4.2	5.82
	1.57	4	5
	1.6	4.05	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	4.07 ↑ (3.78)	5.42 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derby County
59.4%

Draw
23.2%

Bristol Rovers
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

26.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Derby County - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Derby County will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 17. Sibley L. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 7. Barkhuizen T. 12. Smith K. 8. Bird M. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 9. Collins J.	33. Cox M. (G) 42. Hunt J. 5. Wilson J. 4. Grant J. 19. Vale H. 32. Friend G. 21. Evans A. 6. Finley S. (C) 8. Ward G. 10. Collins A. 18. Martin C.
Substitutes
5. Bradley S. 22. Fornah T. 19. John-Jules T. 31. Vickers J. (G) 10. Waghorn M. 23. Ward J. 2. Wilson K.	20. Brown J. 28. Gibbons J. 9. Marquis J. 17. Taylor C. 11. Thomas L. 31. Ward J. (G) 15. Woods R.
Coaches
Warne P.	Mangan A.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 10).

Derby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol Rovers is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Derby have a series of home games.

In this match Derby is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Derby County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Derby County - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.11.23	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Derby County - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTW
- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Carlisle United - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
07.11.23	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bristol Rovers - Whitby Town	7:2 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Derby County	1:1
29.10.22	Derby County - Bristol Rovers	4:2
Club Friendly
19.07.13	Bristol Rovers - Derby County	0:2

Upcoming Matches