Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Davies S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.51
	4.80	3.80	1.55
	6.46	4.33	1.49
	5.1	4.1	1.6	Watch
	6.05	4.25	1.47
	5.74	4.28	1.51
	5.20	4.00	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.35)	4.09 ↑ (3.25)	1.52 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
16.8%

Draw
22.5%

Colwyn Bay
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.6%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Briton Ferry Llansawel's form might have worsened.

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Briton Ferry Llansawel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 20. Anderson O. 2. Bates L. 16. Bates M. 15. Cooper L. 18. George R. 11. Hurford C. 7. Owen R. 3. Packer D. 8. Price T. 9. Walters T.	1. Halstead M. (G) 9. Davies A. 11. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 19. Hill M. 7. Kenny J. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 2. Roberts D. 5. Sirrell L. (C) 16. Williams J.
Substitutes
14. Bowen L. 26. Cadeau T. 25. Gilpin D. (G) 22. Herdman L. 21. Jones J. 12. Lloyd J.	23. Edwards A. 3. Hart S. 13. Osment S. (G) 17. Roberts E. 10. Robles L.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Wilde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Kenny J. 🟨,
44', Hill M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Walters T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Owen R. 🟥,
59', Hurford C. ↓, Lloyd J. ↑,
62', Kenny J. ↓, Robles L. ↑,
62', Williams J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
62', Hill M. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
68', Anderson O. ↓, Bowen L. ↑,
74', Packer D. 🟨,
76', Fuller W. 🟨,
87', Walters T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Briton Ferry (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Colwyn Bay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Colwyn Bay is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Briton Ferry against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Colwyn Bay: 1.63% Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	6	22
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.26	Holywell Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	5:2 ✺
15.09.26	Holywell Town - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
12.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
25.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Colwyn Bay	0:2
30.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2

Upcoming Matches