The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gap Connahs Quay 59.7%
Draw 22.5%
Cardiff Metropolitan 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
25.6%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
25.3%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gap Connahs Quay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Renshaw C. (G) 6. Cowan D. 16. Deane F. 22. Ferguson J. 12. Franklin H. 9. Hodkin J. 5. Hughes A. 4. Jones J. 17. McCoy A. 10. Murray I. 8. West C.
1. Davies A. (G) 5. Clarke J. 14. Dymond-Hall S. 12. Gaughan B. 23. Hooper J. 10. Jones S. 11. Mwandwe L. 9. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 36. Snaith S. 4. Veale J.
Substitutes
3. Flynn S. 68. Liepa D. (G) 99. Mehasseb H. 34. Partridge C. 27. Redshaw F. 21. Watson R. 18. Woodcock M.
3. Edwards J. 13. Howard W. (G) 20. John H. 18. Lloyd T. 29. Matthews H. 16. McKenzie M. 24. Wildig A.
Coaches
Disney J.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Snaith S. 🟨,
44', Jones J. ↓, Flynn S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', McCoy A. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Murray I. ⚽,
81', Hodkin J. ↓, Mehasseb H. ↑,
81', Deane F. ↓, Partridge C. ↑,
81', Hooper J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
87', Jones S. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
87', Dymond-Hall S. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 3.
Connahs Quay has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Cardiff Metropolitan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cardiff Metropolitan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Connahs Quay carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Connahs Quay has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:15 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Connahs Quay against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).
Wales
Watch
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Renshaw C. (G) 
Deane F. 
Franklin H. 
Hughes A. 
Gaughan B. 
Flynn S. 
Liepa D. (G) 
Mehasseb H. 
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