Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Machida Zelvia		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.05	6.1	Watch
	1.48	4.1	7.25
	1.48	4.42	6.19	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.53	4.26	6.18	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)	6.7 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
63.5%

Draw
22.5%

Ulsan HD
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

20.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ulsan (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ulsan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 3. Shoji G. (C) 5. Dresevic I. 11. Masuyama A. 18. Shimoda H. 19. Nakayama Y. 26. Hayashi K. 8. Sento K. 20. Nishimura T. 90. Oh Se-Hun	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (C) 13. Kang Sang-Woo 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 26. Park Min-Seo 66. Trojak M. 16. Lee H. 6. Bojanic D. 7. Ko Seung-Beom 18. Heo Yool 9. Marcao
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 28. Cha Je-Hoon 15. Duke M. 9. Fujio S. 46. Higuchi K. 2. Imai T. 16. Mae H. 13. Morita T. (G) 22. Numata T. 50. Okamura D. 23. Shirasaki R. 7. Soma Y.	2. Cho Hyun-Taek 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 5. Jung Woo-Young 19. Kim Young-Gwon 36. Lacava M. 27. Lee Chung-Yong 10. Lee D. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 17. Ludwigson G. 31. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 11. Um Won-Sang
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Roh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Masuyama A. ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Nishimura T. ⚽, Sento K. (A),
34', Jung Seung-Hyun 🟨,
36', Marcao ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
36', Heo Yool ↓, Ludwigson G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
55', 3 - 1, Um Won-Sang ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
59', Trojak M. ↓, Lee D. ↑,
59', Lee H. ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
63', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
64', Sento K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
64', Masuyama A. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
72', Nishimura T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
73', Park Min-Seo ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
86', Shimoda H. ↓, Mae H. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

Machida Zelvia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ulsan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.

We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.11.25	Ulsan HD - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL

Upcoming Matches