Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	DAZN
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Burgos		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.81	3	5.25	Watch
	1.9	3	4.55
	1.94	3.17	4.93
	1.9	3.18	4.74	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.91	3.02	5.03	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	4.86 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
49.9%

Draw
30.8%

Cádiz
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Burgos - Cádiz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Burgos will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro	13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 21. Climent M. 18. Diarra Y. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 23. Pascual A. 17. Camara D. 16. Cordero A.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	38. Arribas S. 30. Blanco R. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 19. de la Rosa J. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 24. Gonzalez J. 9. Marti R. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Camara D. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽, Nino F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cordero A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
60', Climent M. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
64', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
69', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
69', Diakite M. ↓, Ortuno S. ↑,
82', Camara D. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
84', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
84', Nino F. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
86', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
87', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
90+4', Domina J. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burgos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Kovacevic B. (Injury) Ocampo B. (Yellow Cards) Suso (Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
20	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Burgos - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Burgos - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Huesca - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.25	Cádiz - Burgos	1:3
19.04.25	Burgos - Cádiz	2:2
19.12.24	Cádiz - Burgos	1:1

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