Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	14:30	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 9, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, myCANAL
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Greece	14:30	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
India	17:00	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	12:30	NOW
Israel	14:30	Sport 2
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	05:30	ESPN
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Nigeria	12:30	Sporty TV
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Portugal	12:30	Sport TV2
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	13:30	Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	14:30	Exxen
Ukraine	14:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	12:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	07:30	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+
International	11:30	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Burnley		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.03	3.56	3.56	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.98
	1.98	3.53	3.81	Watch
	2	3.5	3.8
	1.97	3.64	3.71	Watch
	2.03	3.56	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.59)	3.54 ↓ (4.1)	3.72 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English League Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
47.6%

Draw
26.8%

Blackburn Rovers
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackburn Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Burnley - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Blackburn will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 4. Worrall J. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 11. Anthony J. 29. Laurent J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 17. Foster L.	1. Pears A. (G) 2. Brittain C. 17. Carter H. 5. Hyam D. 24. Beck O. 27. Travis L. (C) 6. Tronstad S. 14. Weimann A. 10. Dolan T. 19. Hedges R. 9. Gueye M.
Substitutes
6. Egan-Riley C. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 12. Humphreys B. 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 42. Massengo H. 9. Rodriguez J. 3. Sambo S. 16. Sarmiento J.	8. Baker L. 21. Buckley J. 33. Cozier-Duberry A. 39. Duru L. 4. McFadzean K. 23. Ohashi Y. 11. Rankin-Costello J. 7. Sigurdsson A. 22. Toth B. (G)
Coaches
Parker S.	Eustace J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Foster L. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Weimann A. ⚽, Gueye M. (A),
31', Gueye M. 🟨,
34', Travis L. 🟨,
42', Mejbri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Brittain C. 🟨,
53', Carter H. 🟨,
57', Gueye M. 🟨,
66', Weimann A. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
66', Hedges R. 🟨,
67', Koleosho L. 🟨,
71', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
73', Hedges R. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
77', Foster L. 🟨,
80', Koleosho L. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
80', Laurent J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
83', Esteve M. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
89', Brittain C. ↓, Duru L. ↑,
90+5', Pears A. 🟨,
90+6', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 5.

Recent matches Burnley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blackburn is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Burnley have a series of guest games.

Burnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Leonard H. (Knock) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Burnley won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Burnley - Cardiff City	5:0 ✺
12.08.24	Luton Town - Burnley	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Cádiz - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWT
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Cup
27.08.24	Blackburn Rovers - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Stockport County - Blackburn Rovers	1:6 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.24	Blackburn Rovers - Derby County	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.04.23	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	0:1
13.11.22	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	3:0
English League Cup
23.08.17	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	0:2
English League Championship
05.03.16	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
24.10.15	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	0:1
09.03.14	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	1:2
14.09.13	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	1:1

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