Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.33
	1.95	3.35	4.4
	1.98	3.31	4.37
	1.96	3.38	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)	3.34 ↓ (3.52)	4.39 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
49.3%

Draw
28.8%

Burnley
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

23.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolverhampton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.7%	12.2%	8.1%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Wolverhampton (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wolverhampton (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Wolverhampton (1.22) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Wolverhampton (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Burnley (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 32 - 86.5%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 26. Hoever K. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 5. Munetsi M. 7. Andre 27. Bellegarde J. 10. Arias J. 9. Larsen J. S. (C) 21. Gomes R.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 7. Bruun Larsen J. 8. Ugochukwu L. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
12. Agbadou E. 14. Arokodare T. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 8. Joao Gomes 28. Lopez F. 1. Sa J. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 24. Toti 6. Wolfe D. M.	27. Broja A. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 9. Foster L. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Pereira V.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
35', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. (Pen),
45+4', 2 - 2, Munetsi M. ⚽, Krejci L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Andre ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
68', Arias J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
69', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
76', Hoever K. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
77', Anthony J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
84', Munetsi M. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
85', Bueno S. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
90+3', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
90+3', Florentino ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Foster L. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.

Wolverhampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burnley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Wolverhampton is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Illness) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury) Okoduwa W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Knock)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTWL
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Aston Villa - Burnley	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Manchester City - Burnley	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Burnley - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0
English Premier League
02.04.24	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
05.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	1:0
24.04.22	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
01.12.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	0:0
25.04.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	0:4
21.12.20	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1

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