The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 23.2%
Draw 30%
Burnley 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
25.3%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
24.2%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
15.8%
52.6%
Portsmouth - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 30.1% – 75.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 6. Shaughnessy C. 35. Atkinson R. 3. Ogilvie C. 8. Potts F. 21. Dozzell A. 23. Murphy J. 49. Lang C. 30. Ritchie M. 9. Bishop C.
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 7. Sarmiento J. 17. Foster L. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
31. Archer J. (G) 29. Blair H. 18. Bramall C. 24. Devlin T. 45. Hayden I. 44. Matthews H. 7. Pack M. 15. Saydee C. 20. Waddingham T.
35. Barnes A. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 28. Mejbri H. 26. Shelvey J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Mousinho J.
Parker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Dozzell A. 🟨,
22', Roberts C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sarmiento J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
59', Atkinson R. 🟨,
65', Potts F. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
71', Shaughnessy C. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
82', Lang C. 🟨,
86', Ritchie M. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
87', Swanson Z. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
90', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent matches Portsmouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I.
(Tendon Injury)
Farrell J.
(Leg Injury)
Lane P.
(Knee Injury)
Poole R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Williams J.
(Muscle Injury)
Yengi K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Leg Injury)
Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Calf Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: O'Mahony M.
(Hip Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5
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Schmid N. (G) 
Swanson Z. 
Shaughnessy C. 
Ritchie M. 
Roberts C. 
Esteve M. 
Lucas Pires 
Sarmiento J. 
Foster L. 
Flemming Z. 
Devlin T. 
Hayden I. 
Matthews H. 
Hladky V. (G) 
Manuel Hedilazio B. 
Mejbri H. 
Sonne O. 
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