Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	7.5	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6.5
	1.55	3.69	7.31	Watch
	1.56	3.94	7.26
	1.54	3.86	7.13	Watch
	1.55	3.75	7
	1.53	3.94	6.91	Watch
	1.55	3.69	7.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)	3.81 ↓ (4.69)	7.12 ↓ (8.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
61.7%

Draw
25%

Oxford United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.6%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	31.4%	0%

Burnley - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 24. Cullen J. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 28. Mejbri H. 17. Foster L. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 47. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 4. Vaulks W. 8. Brannagan C. 7. Placheta P. 18. Matos A. 19. Goodrham T. 50. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
35. Barnes A. 22. Edwards M. 32. Hladky V. (G) 23. Lucas Pires 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 7. Sarmiento J. 26. Shelvey J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.	23. Dembele S. 15. El Mizouni I. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 30. Kioso P. 10. Phillips M. 20. Rodrigues R. 24. ter Avest H. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.
Coaches
Parker S.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Helik M. (Own goal),
43', Vaulks W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vaulks W. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
59', Roberts C. 🟨,
61', Bradshaw T. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
64', Mejbri H. 🟨,
70', Brannagan C. 🟨,
71', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
76', Placheta P. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
76', Goodrham T. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
82', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
87', Long S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
90', Foster L. ↓, Shelvey J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Burnley is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
01.02.25	Portsmouth - Burnley	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Burnley	0:5 ✺
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Reading - Burnley	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTW
- Oxford United
English League Championship
01.02.25	Oxford United - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stoke City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
21.01.25	Oxford United - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
28.09.24	Oxford United - Burnley	0:0

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