Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	23:00	ZhiBo8
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	16:00	Voyo
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Hong Kong	23:00	Now Player, Now Sports Prime
Iceland	15:00	Viaplay
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	23:00	SKY NET Sports 1
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Montenegro	16:00	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Philippines	23:00	beIN Connect
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	23:00	StarHub TV+
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	18:00	Tabii
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	10:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play
International	15:00	Disney+


	Southampton		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.7
	1.98	3.5	3.8
	2	3.6	3.75
	2.06	3.58	3.85
	1.92	3.59	4	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.9
	1.98	3.65	3.9	Watch
	2	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	3.83 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
48.2%

Draw
26.8%

Burnley
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	9.5%	19%

Southampton - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarthy A. (G) 14. Bree J. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 3. Manning R. 2. Walker-Peters K. 26. Ugochukwu L. 7. Aribo J. 34. Welington 18. Fernandes M. 33. Dibling T. 20. Sulemana K.	32. Hladky V. (G) 2. Sonne O. 6. Egan-Riley C. (C) 4. Worrall J. 12. Humphreys B. 23. Lucas Pires 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 26. Shelvey J. 28. Mejbri H. 7. Sarmiento J. 35. Barnes A.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 29. Gronbaek A. 10. Lallana A. 32. Onuachu P. 30. Ramsdale A. (G) 8. Smallbone W. 16. Sugawara Y. 15. Wood N.	48. Agyei E. 34. Banel J. 41. Bauress J. 24. Cullen J. 22. Edwards M. 5. Esteve M. 19. Flemming Z. 20. Green E. (G) 15. Redmond N.
Coaches
Juric I.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Sulemana K. 🟨,
59', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Esteve M. ↑,
59', Shelvey J. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
59', Manuel Hedilazio B. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
67', Dibling T. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
73', Worrall J. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Edwards M. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
82', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
83', Bree J. 🟨,
83', Sarmiento J. ↓, Redmond N. ↑,
86', Fernandes M. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
86', Sulemana K. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 2.

Recent matches S`hampton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English Premier League
01.02.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Southampton	3:2 ✺
16.01.25	Manchester United - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Southampton - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLW
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
04.02.25	Burnley - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Portsmouth - Burnley	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Burnley	0:5 ✺
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.04.22	Burnley - Southampton	2:0
23.10.21	Southampton - Burnley	2:2
04.04.21	Southampton - Burnley	3:2
26.09.20	Burnley - Southampton	0:1
15.02.20	Southampton - Burnley	1:2
10.08.19	Burnley - Southampton	3:0
02.02.19	Burnley - Southampton	1:1

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