Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz de Mera I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Argentina	12:15	DirecTV
Australia	02:15	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Sport
Brazil	12:15	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport
Cyprus	17:15	PrimeTel
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	16:15	beIN Sports Max
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports
Poland	16:15	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	15:15	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	16:15	Arena Sport
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	15:15	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.9	3	2.6
	3	3	2.65	Watch
	3.13	3	2.71
	3.13	2.94	2.72
	2.8	3	2.6
	3.13	2.99	2.77	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.67 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
31.8%

Draw
32.2%

Valencia
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

32.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	59.2%	19.7%

Cádiz - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 15 - 21.1%). Valencia will win (votes: 14 - 19.7%). It will Tie (votes: 42 - 59.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.8% – 70.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 23. Hernandez L. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 12. Kouame R. 24. San Emeterio F. 4. Alcaraz R. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 5. Gabriel Paulista 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Perez F. 6. Guillamon H. 18. Pepelu 7. Canos S. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D.
Substitutes
5. Chust V. 17. Escalante G. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 14. Mbaye M. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B. 2. Zaldua J.	12. Correia T. 1. Domenech J. (G) 34. Gasiorowski Y. 27. Gozalbez P. 8. Guerra J. 22. Mari A. 47. Otorbi D. 15. Ozkacar C. 13. Rivero C. (G) 29. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Sergio	Baraja R.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2.

Cádiz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
21.12.23	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.24	Valencia - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Valencia - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Getafe - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0
30.04.23	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1
06.01.23	Valencia - Cádiz	0:1
03.04.22	Valencia - Cádiz	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.22	Valencia - Cádiz	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.21	Cádiz - Valencia	0:0
04.04.21	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1

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