Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Diaz de Mera I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.9	3	2.6
	3	3	2.65	Watch
	3.13	3	2.71
	3.13	2.94	2.72
	2.8	3	2.6
	3.13	2.99	2.77	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.67 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
31.8%

Draw
32.2%

Valencia
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

33%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	59.2%	19.7%

Cádiz - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 15 - 21.1%). Valencia will win (votes: 14 - 19.7%). It will Tie (votes: 42 - 59.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.8% – 70.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 23. Hernandez L. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 12. Kouame R. 24. San Emeterio F. 4. Alcaraz R. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 5. Gabriel Paulista 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Perez F. 6. Guillamon H. 18. Pepelu 7. Canos S. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D.
Substitutes
5. Chust V. 17. Escalante G. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 14. Mbaye M. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B. 2. Zaldua J.	12. Correia T. 1. Domenech J. (G) 34. Gasiorowski Y. 27. Gozalbez P. 8. Guerra J. 22. Mari A. 47. Otorbi D. 15. Ozkacar C. 13. Rivero C. (G) 29. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Sergio	Baraja R.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2.

Cádiz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
21.12.23	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.24	Valencia - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Valencia - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Getafe - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0
30.04.23	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1
06.01.23	Valencia - Cádiz	0:1
03.04.22	Valencia - Cádiz	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.22	Valencia - Cádiz	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.21	Cádiz - Valencia	0:0
04.04.21	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1

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