Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Cacereño		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.63	3.6
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.2	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.81	3.67
	2.25	2.81	3.67
	2.19	2.94	3.55
	2.19	2.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.71)	2.81 ↓ (3.2)	3.56 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
41.7%

Draw
32.6%

Badajoz
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

28%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacereño's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cacereño - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Lopez B. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Deco ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Cordero D. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Cacereño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cacereño will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:0
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Cacereño - Badajoz	2:1
17.08.22	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1
31.07.19	Cacereño - Badajoz	0:2

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