Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Cacereño		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.4	2.85	3
	2.34	2.95	2.9
	2.46	2.92	3.18
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.41	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)	2.94 (2.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
39.5%

Draw
31.1%

Ceuta
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cacereño - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceuta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cacereño will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.12.21	Panadería Pulido - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Cacereño - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
05.12.21	Mérida AD - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Cacereño - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.11.21	Cacereño - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.12.21	Ceuta - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
05.12.21	Ceuta - Antequera	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Mensajero - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	Ceuta - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW

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